California · Nonprofit
Artificial Intelligence Forecasting Inc
Artificial Intelligence Forecasting Inc (California) receives grants from 4 organizations whose IRS filings report $990,050 to it, the largest being DONOR ADVISED CHARITABLE GIVING INC ($461,000). 0 of them have funded it in more than one year, and 100% of the money arrives through donor-advised or pass-through sponsors rather than from an institution directly.
- Revenue FY2024
- $760k
- Funders on record
- 4
- Grants received
- $990k
- Net assets
- $534k
What Artificial Intelligence Forecasting Inc does
Mission
None
As stated on its FY2024 Form 990.
Program
'High-quality': Informed guesses based on deep thinking, trend extrapolations, detailed spreadsheets, industry rumors, conversations with experts, and tabletop exercises.'Full-stack': Holistic scenario forecast, not just compute/benchmark trends, but also real-world capabilities/applications, alignment outcomes, takeoff models, geopolitics.
$213,541 spent$2,400 earned by the program100% of program spending
The program described on its FY2024 Form 990. Program spending in total: $213,541.
Leadership and staff
The officers, directors, trustees and key employees listed on each return. Joined and no longer listed compare each filing with the year before, matching people by surname and first initial; a year after a gap, or a roster under three people, has no comparison.
Chief executive
Daniel Kokotajlo
Executive Director
As listed on its FY2024 Form 990.
Who funds it, year by year
Grant support over time, funder by funder — shade shows the grant size each year.
4 of 4 of your funders are donor-advised or pass-through sponsors (tagged DAF) — 100% of grant dollars received. That money is really individual donors directing a sponsor; the institutions to cultivate are the non-DAF funders.
From the IRS filings of Artificial Intelligence Forecasting Inc’s funders (the co-funder graph). Association, not causation. Trends are read to FY2023, the last fiscal year that has finished arriving. FY2024–FY2026 are still being filed and are shown unshaded; they do not move any figure on this page.
How concentrated its funding is
Artificial Intelligence Forecasting Inc leans on a few funders — its largest provides 47% of grant income and the top three 95%; half comes from just 2 funders.
the vertical line marks half of all grant income — 2 funders to its left
100% of the income these shares are computed over arrives through pass-through sponsors or from payers whose filings do not say what kind of payment it is. Concentration is still measured over all of it, because the money is real; what it does not support is a claim about how many institutions have chosen to fund Artificial Intelligence Forecasting Inc.
“Effective funders” = inverse Herfindahl index (1 / Σ shareᵢ²) — the number of equal-sized funders that would give the same concentration. Trends are read to FY2023, the last fiscal year that has finished arriving. FY2024–FY2026 are still being filed and are shown unshaded; they do not move any figure on this page.
Where its funders are
100% of Artificial Intelligence Forecasting Inc's grant income arrives through donor-advised or pass-through sponsors, whose addresses record where the money is held rather than where the donor is. Too little is directly attributable to place on a map.
Funder states come from each funder’s own filing. $990k arriving through sponsors registered in 4 states is excluded from the map and the split above: a sponsor holds money on a donor’s behalf, so its registered address would place those dollars somewhere no donor need ever have been. Trends are read to FY2023, the last fiscal year that has finished arriving. FY2024–FY2026 are still being filed and are shown unshaded; they do not move any figure on this page.
Against its field
Artificial Intelligence Forecasting Inc runs a healthier operating margin than three-quarters of the 793 science & tech nonprofits its size.
this organization peer median middle 50% of peers· 793 science & tech nonprofits $100k–$1M, FY2024
Organizations like Artificial Intelligence Forecasting Inc
Organizations whose mission and program text most resemble this one, by semantic similarity over every organization in the US filings — the closest peers, and often the clearest route to shared or prospective funders.
In California
Nationally
Read directly from this organization’s own Form 990, as neutral context.
Where the money goes
94% of spending goes to programs.
Governance
Public support
100%
Share of support from the public (Schedule A) — the basis for its public-charity status.
Footprint & structure
Files a return copy in 1 state
Screen this organization
A dated, signed PDF of the compliance screen for Artificial Intelligence Forecasting Inc: IRS status (Business Master File, Publication 78, auto-revocation), the OFAC sanctions lists, the Internal Revenue Bulletin, and California registration, with the Rev. Proc. 2018-32 §8.01 reliance elements stated element by element. Generated from the current files at the moment you download it.
Screens are triage, not determinations; a source that cannot be read reports not screened, never clear. Screen this nonprofit · How the screen works · on the API as GET /api/screening/{ein}?format=pdf
Questions and answers
- Who funds Artificial Intelligence Forecasting Inc?
- Artificial Intelligence Forecasting Inc (California) receives grants from 4 organizations whose IRS filings report $990,050 to it, the largest being DONOR ADVISED CHARITABLE GIVING INC ($461,000). 0 of them have funded it in more than one year, and 100% of the money arrives through donor-advised or pass-through sponsors rather than from an institution directly.
- How many funders does Artificial Intelligence Forecasting Inc have?
- IRS filings report 4 organizations giving $990,050 in grants to Artificial Intelligence Forecasting Inc.
- Who is the largest funder of Artificial Intelligence Forecasting Inc?
- DONOR ADVISED CHARITABLE GIVING INC is the largest funder on record, with $461,000 in grants. The full list of funders is on this page.
- How can an organization like Artificial Intelligence Forecasting Inc find more funders?
- Start with the funders already giving here, then look at the foundations that back similar organizations in California. The funding by cause and by state pages list the largest funders for a given area and how to approach them.
These figures are read directly from IRS Form 990 / 990-PF e-file XML: this organization’s own return for FY2024 (financials across 2024–2024), and the filings of 4 funders that report grants to it. “On record” means captured in the filings we have parsed — a funder that does not e-file, or whose grant detail is not itemized, will not appear. Filings run roughly 12–24 months behind. Trends on this page end at FY2023, the last fiscal year that has finished arriving; later years are shown and marked, and move no figure. Data on this page was exported October 14, 2026. What this page cannot tell you · view filing