· Public charity
Forecasting Research Institute
Improve the science of forecasting for the public good.
Read this first · the figures below need context
67% of Forecasting Research Institute’s FY2025 grant dollars went to The Board Of Trustees Of The Leland Stanford Junior University, not to grantees.
Its money now reaches organizations through that sponsor, which does not report who recommended each grant. FY2025 names 1 organization directly, so a portfolio cannot be read from it.
Organizations named directly on the return
Amber years are those where most dollars went to a sponsor.
Where the money goes
Grants by size, and the largest recipients.
How this is measured
By grant size · FY2025
- $10k–50k2 grants · $89k
- $50k–250k1 grant · $56k
| Recipient | Amount |
|---|---|
| STANFORD UNIVERSITY | $56,000 |
| GEORGIA TECH RESEARCH CORPORATION | $48,290 |
| PRESIDENT AND FELLOWS OF HARVARD COLLEGE | $41,000 |
Does the money reach high-need areas?
Each grant placed by the hardship in its grantee’s ZIP, against the area’s typical level.
Dollar for dollar, its grants (FY24–25) land where the poverty rate runs at 10%, against an area that typically sits at 7%. 68% of its dollars go to grantees based in above-average-need neighborhoods. Most of its grants land in higher-need ZIPs.
How this is measured
Grants abroad, by region: $17k on the FY2025 return
Schedule F, as filed: 1 region. The IRS asks for region and purpose, not the recipient, so no country or grantee can be named here.
Stated purpose: GENERAL SUPPORT
How this is measured
4 grantees tracked through their own filings, 2017–2025.
Each grant beside the grantee’s revenue from every source, year by year.
How this is measured
Counted here: distinct organizations funded across 2017 to 2025, not grant rows in a single year, so this will not match the grant count on the cover.
Each grantee is resolved to its own IRS returns. Association, dated; never a causal claim.
Where the money sits, by cause and then by grantee
Each grantee by its size and the funder’s share of it; top left is load-bearing
Grantee by grantee: a decade per organization, before and after funding
A decade per grantee: revenue shaded, grants as bars, all rows on one timeline.
How much its grantees rely on government
Each dot is one organization Forecasting Research Institute funds: left to right is the share of its income from government, bottom to top the share from Forecasting Research Institute. Bigger dots raise more.
How this is measured
Warm introductions · Powered by PlinthPlus
How do I get to Forecasting Research Institute?
Find your warmest path to Forecasting Research Institute through trustees and officers whose names appear on both boards. Search for your organization and Plinth traces the shortest route it can evidence.
Each link is a name appearing on two organizations’ public IRS 990 filings, matched on that name and, where the filings support it, on location. A same-state match has geographic support, which is a second matching feature rather than confirmation that the two are one person; a cross-state one is the likeliest to be two people who share a name. Every hop shows its tier, low-confidence and distant paths are held back rather than guessed, and it is worth confirming the person before you use the introduction.
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