Delaware · Nonprofit
FORECASTING RESEARCH INSTITUTE
FORECASTING RESEARCH INSTITUTE (Delaware) receives grants from 3 organizations whose IRS filings report $8,592,650 to it, the largest being GOOD VENTURES FOUNDATION ($6,121,650). 1 of them have funded it in more than one year.
- Revenue FY2025
- $9.3M
- Funders on record
- 3
- Grants received
- $8.6M
- Net assets
- $10M
What Forecasting Research Institute does
Mission
Improve the science of forecasting for the public good.
As stated on its FY2025 Form 990.
Program
Fri designed and ran many scientific experiments and expert elicitation surveys, and published 8 academic papers and technical reports all available on fri's website. Research focuses include surveys of experts beliefs about development economics, bioweapon use, and risks from artificial intelligence. Fri improved and maintains a benchmark of ai progress, called forecastbench, measuring the accuracy of ai systems on automated forecasting tasks. Fri also launched a longitufinal panel of ai experts, a three-year project tracking the views of leading computer scientists, ai industry professionals, policy researchers, and economists on the trajectory of artificial intelligence.
$3,760,500 spentof which $162,038 as grants100% of program spending
The program described on its FY2025 Form 990. Program spending in total: $3,760,500.
The organization over time
Each line starts at 100 in 2022, so what you read is the shape rather than the size: 150 means half as much again as 2022, 50 means half. The number beside each label in the key is where it ended. The shaded band is where the middle 50% of its peers' revenue would sit, given their growth.
Balance sheet
Total assets and total liabilities at each year end, in dollars. The largest one-year move in total assets was 2024 to 2025, from $5.1M to $10M (+99%).
How it's funded, over time
Each bar is one year's revenue split into where it came from, and every bar is the same height — these are shares, not amounts, so a year that raised twice as much looks the same size. Hover a bar for the split.
99% of FORECASTING RESEARCH INSTITUTE’s revenue is contributions — more reliant on donations than three-quarters of its peers (88% for the typical peer).
Surplus & reserves
Operating surplus or deficit each year, and months of liquidity in hand. 1 of the last 4 reported years ran a deficit.
reserve
Leadership and staff
The officers, directors, trustees and key employees listed on each return. Joined and no longer listed compare each filing with the year before, matching people by surname and first initial; a year after a gap, or a roster under three people, has no comparison.
Chief executive
Joshua Rosenberg
CEO & treasurer
As listed on its FY2025 Form 990.
Who funds it, year by year
Grant support over time, funder by funder — shade shows the grant size each year.
2 of 3 of your funders are donor-advised or pass-through sponsors (tagged DAF) — 29% of grant dollars received. That money is really individual donors directing a sponsor; the institutions to cultivate are the non-DAF funders.
From the IRS filings of FORECASTING RESEARCH INSTITUTE’s funders (the co-funder graph). Association, not causation. Trends are read to FY2023, the last fiscal year that has finished arriving. FY2024–FY2026 are still being filed and are shown unshaded; they do not move any figure on this page.
How concentrated its funding is
FORECASTING RESEARCH INSTITUTE leans on a few funders — its largest provides 71% of grant income and the top three 100%; half comes from just 1 funder.
the vertical line marks half of all grant income — 1 funder to its left
29% of the income these shares are computed over arrives through pass-through sponsors or from payers whose filings do not say what kind of payment it is. Concentration is still measured over all of it, because the money is real; what it does not support is a claim about how many institutions have chosen to fund FORECASTING RESEARCH INSTITUTE.
“Effective funders” = inverse Herfindahl index (1 / Σ shareᵢ²) — the number of equal-sized funders that would give the same concentration. Trends are read to FY2023, the last fiscal year that has finished arriving. FY2024–FY2026 are still being filed and are shown unshaded; they do not move any figure on this page.
Where its funders are
FORECASTING RESEARCH INSTITUTE draws 100% of its grant income from funders outside Delaware, across 1 state in all.
Funder states come from each funder’s own filing. $2.5M arriving through sponsors registered in 2 states is excluded from the map and the split above: a sponsor holds money on a donor’s behalf, so its registered address would place those dollars somewhere no donor need ever have been. Trends are read to FY2023, the last fiscal year that has finished arriving. FY2024–FY2026 are still being filed and are shown unshaded; they do not move any figure on this page.
Against its field
FORECASTING RESEARCH INSTITUTE runs a healthier operating margin than three-quarters of the 497 public benefit nonprofits its size.
this organization peer median middle 50% of peers· 497 public benefit nonprofits $1M–$10M, FY2025
Organizations like FORECASTING RESEARCH INSTITUTE
Organizations whose mission and program text most resemble this one, by semantic similarity over every organization in the US filings — the closest peers, and often the clearest route to shared or prospective funders.
In Delaware
Nationally
Read directly from this organization’s own Form 990, as neutral context.
Where the money goes
85% of spending goes to programs.
Governance
Footprint & structure
Files a return copy in 5 states
Screen this organization
A dated, signed PDF of the compliance screen for FORECASTING RESEARCH INSTITUTE: IRS status (Business Master File, Publication 78, auto-revocation), the OFAC sanctions lists, the Internal Revenue Bulletin, and California registration, with the Rev. Proc. 2018-32 §8.01 reliance elements stated element by element. Generated from the current files at the moment you download it.
Screens are triage, not determinations; a source that cannot be read reports not screened, never clear. Screen this nonprofit · How the screen works · on the API as GET /api/screening/{ein}?format=pdf
Questions and answers
- Who funds FORECASTING RESEARCH INSTITUTE?
- FORECASTING RESEARCH INSTITUTE (Delaware) receives grants from 3 organizations whose IRS filings report $8,592,650 to it, the largest being GOOD VENTURES FOUNDATION ($6,121,650). 1 of them have funded it in more than one year.
- How many funders does FORECASTING RESEARCH INSTITUTE have?
- IRS filings report 3 organizations giving $8,592,650 in grants to FORECASTING RESEARCH INSTITUTE, 1 of which have funded it in more than one year.
- Who is the largest funder of FORECASTING RESEARCH INSTITUTE?
- GOOD VENTURES FOUNDATION is the largest funder on record, with $6,121,650 in grants. The full list of funders is on this page.
- How can an organization like FORECASTING RESEARCH INSTITUTE find more funders?
- Start with the funders already giving here, then look at the foundations that back similar organizations in Delaware. The funding by cause and by state pages list the largest funders for a given area and how to approach them.
These figures are read directly from IRS Form 990 / 990-PF e-file XML: this organization’s own return for FY2025 (financials across 2022–2025), and the filings of 3 funders that report grants to it. “On record” means captured in the filings we have parsed — a funder that does not e-file, or whose grant detail is not itemized, will not appear. Filings run roughly 12–24 months behind. Trends on this page end at FY2023, the last fiscal year that has finished arriving; later years are shown and marked, and move no figure. Data on this page was exported October 14, 2026. What this page cannot tell you · view filing